Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.466109 0.516118 0.569946 0.632307 0.702708 0.779886 0.871118
2025-06-08 0.381791 0.449907 0.528700 0.627070 0.747268 0.890218 1.074368
2025-06-15 0.338357 0.415466 0.509048 0.631958 0.790575 0.990327 1.264020
2025-06-22 0.300928 0.381583 0.483235 0.622249 0.809732 1.057154 1.413988
2025-06-29 0.273044 0.355791 0.463487 0.615979 0.829679 1.123561 1.567219
2025-07-06 0.243374 0.324338 0.432559 0.590312 0.818652 1.143880 1.654584
2025-07-13 0.229445 0.312619 0.426764 0.598044 0.854153 1.232156 1.850195
2025-07-20 0.217121 0.301856 0.420978 0.604563 0.887489 1.319240 2.052695
2025-07-27 0.206245 0.292124 0.415579 0.610642 0.919913 1.407036 2.265440
2025-08-03 0.195758 0.282053 0.408683 0.613441 0.946809 1.487755 2.474801
2025-08-10 0.187180 0.274121 0.404232 0.619344 0.978673 1.578925 2.712388
2025-08-17 0.174919 0.259705 0.388718 0.606079 0.977223 1.612911 2.849577
2025-08-24 0.168480 0.254052 0.386732 0.615129 1.015043 1.720045 3.139901
2025-08-31 0.159605 0.243989 0.377026 0.610469 1.028537 1.784988 3.357320
2025-09-07 0.153432 0.237813 0.373109 0.615181 1.058807 1.883304 3.654152
2025-09-14 0.145070 0.227531 0.361679 0.605771 1.062144 1.930441 3.850027
2025-09-21 0.138004 0.218967 0.352558 0.599693 1.070987 1.988805 4.077448
2025-09-28 0.128193 0.205253 0.333829 0.574807 1.041621 1.967734 4.124741
2025-10-05 0.124585 0.201874 0.332743 0.582304 1.075943 2.079927 4.492715
2025-10-12 0.121015 0.198343 0.331138 0.588624 1.108340 2.191256 4.875036
2025-10-19 0.117600 0.194879 0.329412 0.594518 1.140264 2.304746 5.279824
2025-10-26 0.113922 0.190743 0.326200 0.597232 1.165700 2.406454 5.670484
2025-11-02 0.110889 0.187593 0.324593 0.602954 1.197943 2.526873 6.129377